This week has really been a great first full week of spring. With temperatures a few degrees above normal but not extremely warm, it has been a opportunity for everyone to get out and do their outdoor activities.
Today: Sunny, High 68.
Tonight: Mostly clear, Low 34.
Saturday: Partly cloudy, a chance of showers. High 63.
Saturday Night: Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Low 43.
Sunday: Cloudy, showers likely, with thunderstorms also possible during the late afternoon into early evening. High 64.
Sunday Night: Mostly Cloudy, a chance of showers and thunderstorms early, Low 49.
Friday, March 30, 2007
Saturday, March 24, 2007
Tonight - 3/29
After a few days of rain and a few more predicted we will begin to feel like we live on the Northwestern US not the mid – Atlantic part. We even will be seeing problems again if you travel 28 south between Highland park bridge and the Rt 8 exit. (I live really close to southbound 28 and these three hillsides around here are soaked as it is everywhere, around here) Then later in the forecast we will see a change over to Partly cloudy skies with high temperatures in the mid 60.
Tonight: Showers and thunderstorms early, then a chance of showers. Cloudy, then gradually becoming partly cloudy, Low 43.
Sunday: Partly cloudy, High 62.
Sunday Night: Partly cloudy, low 43. Monday: Partly cloudy, a slight chance of showers. High 68.
Monday Night: Mostly cloudy, a chance of showers, low 48.
Tuesday: Mostly cloudy, a chance of showers. High 67.
Tuesday Night: Partly Cloudy, a chance of showers, Low 44.
Wednesday: Partly cloudy, High 64.
Wednesday Night: Partly cloudy, Low 42.
Thursday: Partly cloudy, High 63.
Thursday Night: Partly cloudy, Low 47.
Tonight: Showers and thunderstorms early, then a chance of showers. Cloudy, then gradually becoming partly cloudy, Low 43.
Sunday: Partly cloudy, High 62.
Sunday Night: Partly cloudy, low 43. Monday: Partly cloudy, a slight chance of showers. High 68.
Monday Night: Mostly cloudy, a chance of showers, low 48.
Tuesday: Mostly cloudy, a chance of showers. High 67.
Tuesday Night: Partly Cloudy, a chance of showers, Low 44.
Wednesday: Partly cloudy, High 64.
Wednesday Night: Partly cloudy, Low 42.
Thursday: Partly cloudy, High 63.
Thursday Night: Partly cloudy, Low 47.
Tuesday, March 20, 2007
First day of spring
Today at 8:07 pm EDT we will official transform from the season of winter to the season of spring. This of course is astrological not meteorological because the weather people take winter from December 1 - March 1, the coldest period of the year. We will begin to see more warm temperatures at least over the next few days. A very nice day today we have on tap and this will continue over the next few days with a chance of showers start tomorrow. But I doubt it will be a wash out for the next few day.
The rest of the day: Mostly sunny, High 45.
Tonight: Mostly clear, Low 25.
Wednesday: Increasing clouds, a chance of showers , High 51.
Wednesday Night: Mostly Cloudy, a slight chance of showers. Low 43.
Thursday: Partly cloudy, a chance of showers , High 63.
Thursday Night: Partly cloudy, a chance of showers, Low 49.
Friday: Mostly cloudy, a chance of showers, High 64.
Friday Night: Mostly cloudy, a chance of showers. Low 44.
The rest of the day: Mostly sunny, High 45.
Tonight: Mostly clear, Low 25.
Wednesday: Increasing clouds, a chance of showers , High 51.
Wednesday Night: Mostly Cloudy, a slight chance of showers. Low 43.
Thursday: Partly cloudy, a chance of showers , High 63.
Thursday Night: Partly cloudy, a chance of showers, Low 49.
Friday: Mostly cloudy, a chance of showers, High 64.
Friday Night: Mostly cloudy, a chance of showers. Low 44.
Saturday, March 17, 2007
First few day back from spring break
After a nice end of spring break snowstorm we will see temperature in the beginning of the next week becoming more seasonal. This will only add to the runoff thus creating a situation that could help the rivers flood more especially if the high on Tuesday exceeds the forecasted high of 52.
Tonight: Mostly cloudy, a chance of snow showers, Low 19.
Sunday: Partly Cloudy, a chance of flurries. High 38.
Sunday Night: Partly cloudy, Low 22.
Monday: Mostly cloudy, a rain and snow mix likely becoming all showers, High 47.
Monday Night: Mostly Cloudy, a chance of showers, Low 32.
Tuesday: Partly Cloudy, High 47.
Tuesday Night: Clear, Low 27.
Wednesday: Mostly Sunny, High 52.
Wednesday Night: Partly cloudy, Low 39.
Tonight: Mostly cloudy, a chance of snow showers, Low 19.
Sunday: Partly Cloudy, a chance of flurries. High 38.
Sunday Night: Partly cloudy, Low 22.
Monday: Mostly cloudy, a rain and snow mix likely becoming all showers, High 47.
Monday Night: Mostly Cloudy, a chance of showers, Low 32.
Tuesday: Partly Cloudy, High 47.
Tuesday Night: Clear, Low 27.
Wednesday: Mostly Sunny, High 52.
Wednesday Night: Partly cloudy, Low 39.
Wednesday, March 14, 2007
Severe weather/Rain/Flooding into Friday Morning
Severe weather/Rain/Flooding into Friday Morning
Severe weather as shown in the mpa below are the 3 concerns that I have in Northeastern Ohio we have a nice big heavy rain band that will move across the northern regions. This is following what I titled as 3 in Northern PA a stronger line of thunderstorms that moved through the area and is heading eastward. Number 2 is stronger thunderstorms that move through southern westmoreland county earlier.
Heavy Rain showers will contutine tomorrow bring about 1 to 2 inches of rainfall to the region.
The potential for some flooding to occur over the next few days exists. From the NWS in Pittsburgh:
PERIODS OF RAIN OVERNIGHT INTO THURSDAY WILL BRING RAINFALL TOTALS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES BEFORE ENDING BY THURSDAY EVENING. THE RAINFALL MAY BE ENOUGH TO BRING STREAMS AND CREEKS OUT OF THEIR BANKS.
If you want to check about the river close to you click here.
I will update mid day tomorrow after some more guidance develops on this weather event.
Blizzard of 1993
Blizzard of 1993
The superstorm of 1993 is believed by many in the meteorology profession and weathercasters around the nation as the storm of the century, the weather channel has said this the third in storms of the century behind the super tornado outbreak of 1974 and the labor day hurricane of 1935. This storm system began to develop a week ahead of time. The models at the beginning of the week of March 8th and ending with Saturday the 13th, were beginning to show a significant chance of a major winter storm developing over the warm waters of the Gulf of Mexico. As the week progressed it became more and more clear how much snow we would indeed get out of this storm system.
As a third grader I loved to help everyone
This is where I began to get hooked on the weather. I loved watching just how these weathercasters were able to predict this storm system many days in advance with a great deal of accuracy, thus warn people of the pending storm system and the hazardous conditions that it would cause. Even with these forecasts produced the St. Patrick’s day parade in Downtown Pittsburgh marched on. This as literally, everything was getting struck from news trucks on there way to the parade route to Police cars on patrol. The city was in grid lock but the show of Pittsburgher’s St. Patrick’s Day spirit marched on.
Satellite image clearing showing the classic comma
formation for a very strong low pressure system
However the worst was only yet to come, the storm turned into a huge storm system early afternoon, the National Weather Service here in Pittsburgh issued Blizzard warnings which the NWS defines as, “Blizzard Warning - Sustained winds or frequent gusts of 35 mph or greater, considerable falling and/or blowing snow reducing visibility frequently to 1/4 mile or less for a period of three hours or more. There are no temperature criteria in the definition of a blizzard but freezing temperatures and 35 mph winds will create single digit wind chills.” Link. The snow became heavier and I noticed that because as a 3rd grade having a huge hill in my backyard next to route 28 I was sledding and noticed not many vehicles come down 28. The next thing I remember which I will never forget is at 5 pm everything seemed to stand still nobody was any longer coming down 28 and every fire whistle was blowing where I lived. The state closed the Interstate’s and most of the state maintained highways. The Fire departments were calling in everybody because they wanted crews at the fire house if a fire happened instead of have the time added to get to the fire house. I will always remember coming in and asking my parents what is happening? And seeing on the news how many thins were closing and how much this city was paralyzed. I knew that this was bad, every county in the commonwealth was declared a disaster area. If this storm happened over a weekday I often wonder how much worst would it have been? Granted we did have a lot of lead time but would people follow it?
That is why I have chosen to be a weatherman to help educate and give people my knowledge of the weather in the means of an accurate forecast. People need to know what the weather will do the next day and this is why I am here, deciding to work as a broadcast weathercast eventually becoming a broadcast meteorologist with a degree from Miss. State in 2010.
The superstorm of 1993 is believed by many in the meteorology profession and weathercasters around the nation as the storm of the century, the weather channel has said this the third in storms of the century behind the super tornado outbreak of 1974 and the labor day hurricane of 1935. This storm system began to develop a week ahead of time. The models at the beginning of the week of March 8th and ending with Saturday the 13th, were beginning to show a significant chance of a major winter storm developing over the warm waters of the Gulf of Mexico. As the week progressed it became more and more clear how much snow we would indeed get out of this storm system.
As a third grader I loved to help everyone
This is where I began to get hooked on the weather. I loved watching just how these weathercasters were able to predict this storm system many days in advance with a great deal of accuracy, thus warn people of the pending storm system and the hazardous conditions that it would cause. Even with these forecasts produced the St. Patrick’s day parade in Downtown Pittsburgh marched on. This as literally, everything was getting struck from news trucks on there way to the parade route to Police cars on patrol. The city was in grid lock but the show of Pittsburgher’s St. Patrick’s Day spirit marched on.
Satellite image clearing showing the classic commaformation for a very strong low pressure system
However the worst was only yet to come, the storm turned into a huge storm system early afternoon, the National Weather Service here in Pittsburgh issued Blizzard warnings which the NWS defines as, “Blizzard Warning - Sustained winds or frequent gusts of 35 mph or greater, considerable falling and/or blowing snow reducing visibility frequently to 1/4 mile or less for a period of three hours or more. There are no temperature criteria in the definition of a blizzard but freezing temperatures and 35 mph winds will create single digit wind chills.” Link. The snow became heavier and I noticed that because as a 3rd grade having a huge hill in my backyard next to route 28 I was sledding and noticed not many vehicles come down 28. The next thing I remember which I will never forget is at 5 pm everything seemed to stand still nobody was any longer coming down 28 and every fire whistle was blowing where I lived. The state closed the Interstate’s and most of the state maintained highways. The Fire departments were calling in everybody because they wanted crews at the fire house if a fire happened instead of have the time added to get to the fire house. I will always remember coming in and asking my parents what is happening? And seeing on the news how many thins were closing and how much this city was paralyzed. I knew that this was bad, every county in the commonwealth was declared a disaster area. If this storm happened over a weekday I often wonder how much worst would it have been? Granted we did have a lot of lead time but would people follow it?
That is why I have chosen to be a weatherman to help educate and give people my knowledge of the weather in the means of an accurate forecast. People need to know what the weather will do the next day and this is why I am here, deciding to work as a broadcast weathercast eventually becoming a broadcast meteorologist with a degree from Miss. State in 2010.
Tuesday, March 13, 2007
Today is the day that I say that I got hooked on the subject of Meteorology. This is the anniversary of the Blizzard of 1993. Read my blog later on about the blizzard in Pittsburgh and the National Superstorm. However 14 years later we are seeing temperatures in the 70's around the region.
Tonight - Partly cloudy, an increasing chance of showers. Low 52.
Tomorrow - Mostly cloudy, showers likely, thunderstorms also possible during the afternoon. High 68.
Tomorrow Night - Cloudy, a chance of showers and thunderstorms. Low 48.
Thursday - Cloudy, showers likely, high 60.
Thursday Night - Mostly cloudy, a chance of showers, low 36.
Friday - Showers likely early, then Cloudy, high 47.
Friday Night - Mostly cloudy, a chance of rain showers, changing over to a chance of snow showers. Low 25.
Saturday - Mostly cloudy, a slight chance of snow showers. high 41.
Saturday Night - Partly cloudy, low 23.
Sunday - Partly cloudy, high 44.
Sunday Night - Partly cloudy, low 26.
Tonight - Partly cloudy, an increasing chance of showers. Low 52.
Tomorrow - Mostly cloudy, showers likely, thunderstorms also possible during the afternoon. High 68.
Tomorrow Night - Cloudy, a chance of showers and thunderstorms. Low 48.
Thursday - Cloudy, showers likely, high 60.
Thursday Night - Mostly cloudy, a chance of showers, low 36.
Friday - Showers likely early, then Cloudy, high 47.
Friday Night - Mostly cloudy, a chance of rain showers, changing over to a chance of snow showers. Low 25.
Saturday - Mostly cloudy, a slight chance of snow showers. high 41.
Saturday Night - Partly cloudy, low 23.
Sunday - Partly cloudy, high 44.
Sunday Night - Partly cloudy, low 26.
Monday, March 12, 2007
Forecast thur Wednesday Night
Today: Partly cloudy maybe a passing sprinkle, high 57.
Tonight: Mostly cloudy, slight chance of showers, low 40.
Tuesday: Partly cloudy, high 68.
Tuesday Night: Mostly cloudy, low 49.
Wednesday: Mostly cloudy a chance of showers, high 68.
Wednesday Night: Periods of showers after midnight, Low 48.
Tonight: Mostly cloudy, slight chance of showers, low 40.
Tuesday: Partly cloudy, high 68.
Tuesday Night: Mostly cloudy, low 49.
Wednesday: Mostly cloudy a chance of showers, high 68.
Wednesday Night: Periods of showers after midnight, Low 48.
Sunday, March 11, 2007
First 3 (real) days of spring break
This is a really short forecast but it was easy to do because of the lack of “weather” that is occurring. This upcoming week in PA is severe weather week. Tomorrow’s topic is tornadoes which I will talk about a bit in my blog tomorrow in particular a series of Twisters that moved across Western PA back when I was two (May 31,1985).
Today: Sunny, high 50.
Tonight: Clear, low 28.
Monday: Mostly sunny, high 56.
Monday Night: Partly cloudy, low 37.
Tuesday: Partly cloudy, a slight chance of showers, high 64.
Tuesday Night: Mostly cloudy, a chance of showers, low 45.
Today: Sunny, high 50.
Tonight: Clear, low 28.
Monday: Mostly sunny, high 56.
Monday Night: Partly cloudy, low 37.
Tuesday: Partly cloudy, a slight chance of showers, high 64.
Tuesday Night: Mostly cloudy, a chance of showers, low 45.
Saturday, March 10, 2007
It looks like after we get through today’s showers, we will have some great weather coming this week. Tonight however you will need to keep a watch out for icy spots, also dense fog might develop overnight. Also don’t forget tonight at 2 am we spring ahead to Daylight savings time which started back in 1941(as “war time”) to help with the war effort. More Information CLICK HERE
Tonight: A slight chance of showers early, Mostly cloudy, then gradually becoming mostly clear, low 30.Watch out for icy spots
Sunday: Sunny, high 46.Sunday Night: Clear, low 26.
Monday: Mostly sunny, high 56.
Monday Night: Partly cloudy, low 36.
Tuesday: Partly cloudy with a chance of showers. High 60.
Tuesday Night: Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers low 45.
Wednesday: Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers, high 56.
Wednesday Night: Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers low 37.
Thursday: Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers, high 48.
Tonight: A slight chance of showers early, Mostly cloudy, then gradually becoming mostly clear, low 30.Watch out for icy spots
Sunday: Sunny, high 46.Sunday Night: Clear, low 26.
Monday: Mostly sunny, high 56.
Monday Night: Partly cloudy, low 36.
Tuesday: Partly cloudy with a chance of showers. High 60.
Tuesday Night: Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers low 45.
Wednesday: Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers, high 56.
Wednesday Night: Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers low 37.
Thursday: Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers, high 48.
Friday, March 9, 2007
Spring break forecast (partial)
This forecast if you like Sunny and mild temperatures is, perfect for you. The average high for this time of year is 46, so today we will be 6 degrees above normal. This is looking to be a great week for spring break; I hope everybody has nice spring break. I will be forecasting still next week and generating new graphics before the end of the week as templates so I can use them daily.
Today: Sunny, high 52.
Tonight: Partly cloudy, low 40.
Saturday: Showers likely, mostly cloudy, high 56.
Saturday Night: A chance of showers, early. Cloudy early then gradual clearing, low 34.
Sunday: Mostly sunny, high 48.
Sunday Night: Mostly clear, low 30.
Monday: Mostly sunny, high 58.
Monday Night: Mostly clear, low 32.
Tuesday: Partly cloudy, high 56.
Tuesday Night: Partly cloudy, low 40.
Wednesday: Partly cloudy, high 59.
Wednesday Night: Partly cloudy, low 40.
Thursday: Partly cloudy, high 63.
Today: Sunny, high 52.
Tonight: Partly cloudy, low 40.
Saturday: Showers likely, mostly cloudy, high 56.
Saturday Night: A chance of showers, early. Cloudy early then gradual clearing, low 34.
Sunday: Mostly sunny, high 48.
Sunday Night: Mostly clear, low 30.
Monday: Mostly sunny, high 58.
Monday Night: Mostly clear, low 32.
Tuesday: Partly cloudy, high 56.
Tuesday Night: Partly cloudy, low 40.
Wednesday: Partly cloudy, high 59.
Wednesday Night: Partly cloudy, low 40.
Thursday: Partly cloudy, high 63.
Thursday, March 8, 2007
3/8-3/12
Today looks like the start of winter but we still will have to contend with the lower than normal temps., tomorrow however we will be reaching into the upper 40’s/lower 50’s then it will begin to feel like spring around the area.
Today: Mostly sunny, High 33.
Tonight: Clear, Low 15.
Friday: Mostly sunny, High 50.
Friday Night: Increasing clouds, Low 37.
Saturday: A chance of showers, Mostly cloudy, High 52.
Saturday Night: A slight chance of showers early, otherwise Partly cloudy, Low 34.
Sunday: Partly cloudy, High 55.
Sunday Night: A chance of showers. Partly cloudy, Low 36.
Monday: A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, High 54.
If anyone in the class is going somewhere for Spring break and wants a forecast let me know!!
Today: Mostly sunny, High 33.
Tonight: Clear, Low 15.
Friday: Mostly sunny, High 50.
Friday Night: Increasing clouds, Low 37.
Saturday: A chance of showers, Mostly cloudy, High 52.
Saturday Night: A slight chance of showers early, otherwise Partly cloudy, Low 34.
Sunday: Partly cloudy, High 55.
Sunday Night: A chance of showers. Partly cloudy, Low 36.
Monday: A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, High 54.
If anyone in the class is going somewhere for Spring break and wants a forecast let me know!!
Wednesday, March 7, 2007
3/7 - 3/12
Now that the snow is ending over the region, we will changing pretty much from winter and begin looking toward spring. This will really feel like spring break to PSU student.
Tonight: Partly cloudy, low 14.
Thursday: Partly cloudy, high 34.
Thursday Night: Mostly clear, low 17.
Friday: Mostly sunny, high 44.
Friday Night: A chance of showers, towards daybreak cloudy, low 33.
Saturday: A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, high 50.
Saturday Night: A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, low 36.
Sunday: A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, high 52.
Sunday Night: A chance of showers. Partly cloudy, low 36.
Monday: Partly cloudy, high 54.
Monday Night: A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, low 38.
Tonight: Partly cloudy, low 14.
Thursday: Partly cloudy, high 34.
Thursday Night: Mostly clear, low 17.
Friday: Mostly sunny, high 44.
Friday Night: A chance of showers, towards daybreak cloudy, low 33.
Saturday: A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, high 50.
Saturday Night: A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, low 36.
Sunday: A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, high 52.
Sunday Night: A chance of showers. Partly cloudy, low 36.
Monday: Partly cloudy, high 54.
Monday Night: A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, low 38.
Tuesday, March 6, 2007
This storm system seems that will blow through the region tomorrow into tomorrow night. Attached below is what accu-weather feels will happen this differs a bit from my forecast. I agree (I did the calculations also) with the NWS however is predicting 3-5" around Pittsburgh and 4-8" in the mountains. I feel that they are more correct this time around.
Today – Increasing cloudiness, High 21.
Tonight – Mostly cloudy becoming cloudy with Snow developing after Midnight. Low 17.
Tomorrow – Snow, heavy at times. High 30. Accumulating 3-5” in the Pittsburgh area, 4- 8” in the Laurels.
Tomorrow night – Snow tapering to flurries, decreasing cloudiness. Low 15.
Let it snow one last time this season!!! Enjoy it.
The weekend (and Spring Break) are shaping up nice I will have more on that later tonight or tomorrow!!
Today – Increasing cloudiness, High 21.
Tonight – Mostly cloudy becoming cloudy with Snow developing after Midnight. Low 17.
Tomorrow – Snow, heavy at times. High 30. Accumulating 3-5” in the Pittsburgh area, 4- 8” in the Laurels.
Tomorrow night – Snow tapering to flurries, decreasing cloudiness. Low 15.
Let it snow one last time this season!!! Enjoy it.
The weekend (and Spring Break) are shaping up nice I will have more on that later tonight or tomorrow!!
Monday, March 5, 2007
Three Day forecast
The main two words for this forecast will be COLD and SNOW Over the next two days, Monday and Tuesday we will see windchill values close to or below zero. And then overnight Tuesday into Wednesday we will see a chance of some accumulating snowfall over the region, when a clipper system passes our region.
Today – Cloudy, Snow showers likely, little accumulation. Windy. Winds west 20 – 25. High 30.
Tonight – Scattered snow showers, becoming partly cloudy. Windy. Winds Northwest 15 – 30. Low 10. Windchill values 5 to - 15.
Tomorrow - Partly Cloudy. Windy. Winds North 10 – 15. High 22, Windchill values 5 to - 10.
Tomorrow Night – Increasing cloudiness, snow developing after midnight. Low 18.
Wednesday – Snow Likely. Cloudy. High 30.
Wednesday Night – Snow tapering to flurries. Low 16. Total system accumation 2-4" around the area higher in the Mountains and to the North.
Below I have attached the most recent predicated accumulation forecast from Accu-weather.
Today – Cloudy, Snow showers likely, little accumulation. Windy. Winds west 20 – 25. High 30.
Tonight – Scattered snow showers, becoming partly cloudy. Windy. Winds Northwest 15 – 30. Low 10. Windchill values 5 to - 15.
Tomorrow - Partly Cloudy. Windy. Winds North 10 – 15. High 22, Windchill values 5 to - 10.
Tomorrow Night – Increasing cloudiness, snow developing after midnight. Low 18.
Wednesday – Snow Likely. Cloudy. High 30.
Wednesday Night – Snow tapering to flurries. Low 16. Total system accumation 2-4" around the area higher in the Mountains and to the North.
Below I have attached the most recent predicated accumulation forecast from Accu-weather.
Sunday, March 4, 2007
Early week
First few days of March
First i want to say sorry I already broke my own rule now, I have been working on a Play for New Kensington Civic Theater, and we were moving it to Penn Ken and have been working on that the lighting so I must say a general sorry. But anyhow weather early next week around here should be fine along with most of the nation. We will probably see a chance of Precipitation Today into Monday but it will exit the region by late Monday Night.
Today - Cloudy, chance of scattered snow showers, windy. Winds west 15 - 20 gusts to 35. High 32.
Tonight - Cloudy, chance of a snow shower early, then becoming Partly cloudy. Windy. Winds west 10 -15 gusts to 30. Low 19
Monday - Partly Cloudy, chance of a snow shower early, then a chance of a rain shower, High 37.
Monday Night - Partly Cloudy, chance of snow shower early. Low 17
Tuesday - Partly Cloudy, High 30.
Tuesday Night - Partly Cloudy, Low 19.
First i want to say sorry I already broke my own rule now, I have been working on a Play for New Kensington Civic Theater, and we were moving it to Penn Ken and have been working on that the lighting so I must say a general sorry. But anyhow weather early next week around here should be fine along with most of the nation. We will probably see a chance of Precipitation Today into Monday but it will exit the region by late Monday Night.
Today - Cloudy, chance of scattered snow showers, windy. Winds west 15 - 20 gusts to 35. High 32.
Tonight - Cloudy, chance of a snow shower early, then becoming Partly cloudy. Windy. Winds west 10 -15 gusts to 30. Low 19
Monday - Partly Cloudy, chance of a snow shower early, then a chance of a rain shower, High 37.
Monday Night - Partly Cloudy, chance of snow shower early. Low 17
Tuesday - Partly Cloudy, High 30.
Tuesday Night - Partly Cloudy, Low 19.
Thursday, March 1, 2007
Local Weather Update 4 pm
4 pm and no rain yet, it will be coming I swear. The heaviest period of showers and rain will be later the afternoon and this evening when I think we will see a possible thunderstorm which will contain very heavy rainfall and some strong winds. The tempertures are in the 40 north of the city and in the 50's south of the city, which means a large amount of the snowfall that we had two weeks ago is melting quickly. This means that the flooding potential is increased. Now with the rainfall that we will see tonight over .5 to 1"+ of rainfall fall with the 1-2" of liquid from the snowfall we are in for some flooding. Especailly on the Ohio at Pittsburgh. The normal places will see the flooding.
From the NWS here in Pittsburgh's Flooding Advisory,
SNOWMELT IN THE HEADWATERS OF THE ALLEGHENY AND MONONGAHELA RIVERBASINS WILL COMBINE WITH OVERNIGHT RAIN TO PRODUCE SIGNIFICANT RISESON LOCAL RIVERS. WATER MAY REACH THE MONONGAHELA PARKING WHARF AS EARLY AS FRIDAY MORNING.
I will update later as this develops.
From the NWS here in Pittsburgh's Flooding Advisory,
SNOWMELT IN THE HEADWATERS OF THE ALLEGHENY AND MONONGAHELA RIVERBASINS WILL COMBINE WITH OVERNIGHT RAIN TO PRODUCE SIGNIFICANT RISESON LOCAL RIVERS. WATER MAY REACH THE MONONGAHELA PARKING WHARF AS EARLY AS FRIDAY MORNING.
I will update later as this develops.
National Outlook
It's 3 pm where in the middle of the afternoon just the right time for severe weather to begin to fire up. And a few have just started to fire up, I just looked one the weather channel and heard that a severe tornadoes blew through a school in Enterprise, Alabama. The SPC called this storm many hours ago (8:30 am est) Below is the Watch box for the area produced earlier in the day.
Source: http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ww0044.html
Lets take a look at how big the storm system is, attached is the Enhanced Infrared satellite image. The area we are talking about is should clearly with the coldest clouds tops the red over Alabama. This system stretches from Neb to the east coast from New York to Florida.
Source: http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ww0044.htmlThis is following Particularly Dangerous Situation (PDS) was issued md 238 at 11:48 which stated this supercell (storm system which can produces tornadoes) is very powerful and strong to severe tornadoes could be could go from Alabama to Georgia.
Lets take a look at how big the storm system is, attached is the Enhanced Infrared satellite image. The area we are talking about is should clearly with the coldest clouds tops the red over Alabama. This system stretches from Neb to the east coast from New York to Florida.
This situation will only continue today into tonight, the most active time for tornado development is during the late afternoon into the evening. I wouldn't be surprised if this tornado outbreak becomes even larger into the evening. The atmosphere down south is very unstable and the ingredients are right for severe weather development very quickly.
Below is the outlook for today from the SPC:
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1108 AM CST THU MAR 01 2007 ...
A MAJOR SEVERE WEATHER OUTBREAK IS LIKELY ACROSS THE LOWER OHIO VALLEY...LOWER AND MID MISSISSIPPI VALLEY...EASTWARD ACROSS THE GULF AND SOUTH ATLANTIC COASTAL STATES. THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER IN NORMAN OK IS ALSO FORECASTING THE DEVELOPMENT OF A TORNADOES...SOME WHICH MAY BE STRONG AND LONG TRACKED...ESPECIALLY ACROSS EASTERN MISSISSIPPI...ALABAMA...AND CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN GEORGIA. THIS AREA IS IN A HIGH RISK FOR SEVERE WEATHER. THE AREAS MOST LIKELY TO EXPERIENCE THIS ACTIVITY INCLUDE ALABAMA CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN GEORGIA EASTERN MISSISSIPPI SURROUNDING THE HIGH RISK AREA...THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS MUCH OF THE LOWER HALF OF THE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY AND GULF/SOUTH ATLANTIC COASTAL STATES.
A POWERFUL UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM WILL TRANSLATE EASTWARD FROM THE MID MISSISSIPPI VALLEY INTO THE EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE COUNTRY THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. A COLD FRONT WILL ACCOMPANY THIS SYSTEM...ALONG WITH VERY STRONG JET LEVEL WINDS. AT THE SAME TIME...STRENGTHENING SOUTHERLY WINDS ARE RAPIDLY TRANSPORTING MOISTURE NORTHWARD AHEAD OF THE FRONT.
SEVERE STORMS ARE ALREADY ONGOING THIS MORNING ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE MISSISSIPPI AND TENNESSEE VALLEYS...AND WITH DAYTIME HEATING...THE COVERAGE OF SEVERE STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE. THE MOST INTENSE STORMS ARE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM EASTERN MISSISSIPPI ACROSS ALABAMA INTO GEORGIA. THESE STORMS WILL BE IN A VERY FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT STORMS TO ROTATE AND SPAWN LONG TRACKED...DAMAGING TORNADOES. STRONG TORNADOES ARE ALSO POSSIBLE LATER TODAY ACROSS PORTIONS OF TENNESSEE....WHILE WIDESPREAD WIND DAMAGE AND ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE LIKELY ACROSS MUCH OF THE LOWER OHIO VALLEY. THE SEVERE STORM THREAT WILL PROGRESS EASTWARD TOWARD THE MIDDLE AND SOUTHERN ATLANTIC COAST LATER TONIGHT WITH POTENTIAL FOR DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND ISOLATED TORNADOES. THIS IS POTENTIALLY A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.
THOSE IN THE THREATENED AREA ARE URGED TO REVIEW SEVERE WEATHER SAFETY RULES AND TO LISTEN TO RADIO...TELEVISION...AND NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR POSSIBLE WATCHES...WARNINGS...AND STATEMENTS LATER TODAY. ..WEISS/HALES.. 03/01/2007
Marching in like a LION!!
Well this is the first 3 hours of march and it marching in like a lion who has eaten in a few day and is anger. This storm system is anticipated to have a major Severe weather outbreak tomorrow. The Storms Predication center doesn't issue this type of map without a very strong feeling that something big will happen over the next 24 hours. 
A very high potential for severe weather exist within the Purple circle, a moderate in the red and slight chance in the green. Now don't be fooled with this map pretty much anywhere inside of the brown area could easily see some severe weather. I think around here we stand a good chance for a strong thunderstorm tonight.
If we get a Strong thunderstorm tonight we could be looking at more rainfall which is not good for the streams and rivers. The major concern is flooding and because of the amount of ice on the rivers we could see ice jam flooding where the ice breaks apart but literally jams(dams) up in a location and then after building enough water behind the jam it breaks allowing the water to rush downstream. The last noticeable case of this that occurred in the Pittsburgh area in 1996 when after the ice on the Oil City creek decided to jam and held for a significant period of time, holding back massive amounts of water. Then almost around the 6 pm news it let loose. Which meant flooding downriver in a few hours. This could happen again the different between that snow melt/rain event is that that one had temps that reached into the 60's and very dense fog developed over the Laurels which is a snow killer (eats snow rapidly), today we are only predicted to reach into the mid 50's.
As the weather develops I will update.
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